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Crown Green Handicap

Lynn Bailey

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

774

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

44

Matches Played

21

Wins

23

Losses

48%

Win Rate

10.0

Avg Win Margin

7.1

Avg Loss Margin

15-8

Home Record

6-15

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
44 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/10/2026

A large recent sample: 44 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins21/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 44 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

23 May11 Jun3 Jul24 Jul13 May17 Jun14 Jul10 Aug-14916

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
48%
score-0.05→contribution-0.02
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
10.0
score+0.33→contribution+0.07
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.1
score+0.14→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
833
score-0.25→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score+0.065
Sample Size Confidence
100%(44/33 matches)
Rating1026 → shrunk 1026→ adjusted 772
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)776
Recency Blend40% (44 recent matches)
Final Rating774
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

21W23L44 matches·47.7% win rate
-51 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2024–2026Division C30141646.7%
Pensby D2025Division C115645.5%
Pensby B2026Division B32166.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/10/2026Karl RobinsonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/29/2026John MurrayH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/23/2026Georgina MiddlemasA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/22/2026Mal SmithH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
7/16/2026George LowdenH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
7/15/2026Derek BramellH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision C
7/14/2026Eddie Massey **H10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
7/9/2026Nick Lang-yatesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/7/2026Mervyn PryceH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
6/25/2026Teresa CoxH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/24/2026Alan WilsonH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/23/2026Pauline WelchA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/17/2026Paul MossH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision C
6/16/2026Joe RiceA21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision C
6/11/2026Tom PughA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
6/10/2026Owen RobertsA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
6/3/2026Susan CowanA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
5/27/2026Rita SimpsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
5/13/2026Colin BensonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
5/12/2026Tony ThelwellH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
4/30/2026Paul HellerH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
8/27/2025vs Oxton Cons BH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
8/13/2025Pauline HoeyA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
8/7/2025John MillingtonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/24/2025Gary BrabanderA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/22/2025Gary MaddockA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/16/2025vs Albany BH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/15/2025Paul BlackwellA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/9/2025Roy NewcombeA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
7/3/2025Tony McdonoughA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
7/2/2025vs Pensby CH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/26/2025vs Oxton Cons BA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/24/2025Geoff MillichapA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision C
6/18/2025vs Sea DogH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision C
6/11/2025vs Bromborough Pool BH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
6/10/2025Neil LangleyA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/4/2025vs Bromborough Pool BH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
5/29/2025vs Little SuttonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
5/15/2025Mark ProctorA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/7/2025vs Pensby CA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
5/23/2024Nigel WardH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/16/2024Tony McdonoughA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/15/2024vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
5/7/2024Joe RiceA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy3 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPeter Jones / Alan MathewsOxton Cons13-15LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundTom Howard / Colin PortisLever Club13-15LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundAdrian Cairns / Graham WalkerOxton Cons9-15LOSSWON
Geoff Clare Trophy3 games · 2W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundIan SmithPensby D11-21LOSSLOST
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundRay WhartonSea Dog21-19WINLOST
Semi Final RoundPaul HellerBromborough Pool B21-12WINLOST
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 1W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundKath DaviesPensby B21-11WINLOST

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLLWW
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LLLWWWLLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Joe Rice11250%6/16/2026
Oxton Cons B0220%8/27/2025
Tony Mcdonough11250%7/3/2025
Pensby C11250%7/2/2025
Bromborough Pool B202100%6/11/2025
Karl Robinson0110%8/10/2026
John Murray0110%7/29/2026
Georgina Middlemas0110%7/23/2026
Mal Smith101100%7/22/2026
George Lowden101100%7/16/2026
Biggest Win
Unknown (+19)6/18/2025
Heaviest Defeat
John Millington (-13)8/7/2025
Best Season
202662% · 21 matches
Worst Season
202542% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
36% → 59%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
77833 known · 11 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
16-1650% win rate

By Division

Division C19-22 (46%)
Division B2-1 (67%)
Division B66.7%
2W·1L·3 played
Division C46.3%
19W·22L·41 played

Debut

May 7, 2024

Latest

Aug 10, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.7 (44 total)

Seasons

202420252026